Photo: Lyon Press
Building a solar-powered electric fence
But through a rental system, Rosa saw that he would be
able to reach more customers more quickly. Additionally, customers
would be spared Brazil's oppressive sales taxes (which drive up
prices by more than 50 percent).
Moreover, the idea made intuitive sense. "What does it mean to
buy solar panels?" asks Rosa. "It means to buy energy for the next
25 years. Who buys food for the next 25 years? You buy food for the
next week or month. It should be the same with electricity."
Rosa began by conducting a market study. He received an initial
investment of $60,000 in grants and a combination of soft and
commercial loans from the Washington, D.C.-based Solar Development
Group, with commitments for an additional $50,000 of financing. STA
invested $45,000 of its own research and development funds.
Rosa's team began by spending eight months surveying 77 families
in six rural municipalities in Rio Grande do Sul. The responses
encouraged them. Almost 70 percent of the families interviewed spent
at least $11 per month on non-renewable energy sources kerosene,
candles, batteries and liquid petroleum gas about the same amount
they would need to spend each month to rent a basic photovoltaic
solar home system equipped with lights and outlets, all the
necessary wiring, plus the boxes, locks and saints.
Rosa began hammering out a business model. He dubbed the venture
"The Sun Shines For All." With assistance from the Ashoka-McKinsey
Center for Social Entrepreneurship, he spent two years developing a
business plan, analyzing the market, risks and competition,
conducting a sensitivity analysis and sketching out pro forma cash
flow and income projections for ten years.
In Phase I, during the first four years, the business is slated
to reach 6,100 rural properties in Rio Grande do Sul. Following
that, in Phase II, it will expand to another 6,100 properties in
Bahia. After those initial targets, expansion will continue in Rio
Grande do Sul and Bahia, where Rosa has identified more than 775,000
properties without electricity.
In each state, Rosa has been doing business for years. He has
already made contact with local distributors who will install and
service the home systems for fees.
God is in the Details
Rosa has incorporated an internal rate of return of 29 to 30
percent into his pricing calculations to entice foreign investors.
The break-even point for Phase I will come at the end of the fourth
year, after the initial 6,100 properties have been installed. From
that point on, the rental income (minus variable expenses) will
contribute to profit. (The solar panels last for 25 years.)
The business calls for $2 million in equity or debt investment.
The first 70 households, financed with the Solar Energy Group
investment, will be installed by August 2003.
Although Rosa's business remains in its early stages, it is,
nevertheless, worth taking a close look at the model because of
its
|
Photo by David
Bornstein Fabio Rosa | inherent
importance, because of Rosa's proven track record, and because of
the degree of thought and preparation that has gone into the idea.
Rosa has worked with solar energy and low-income clients for 12
years.
He has studied the problems of solar projects around the world
which is why he is so obsessive about the details. (The details are
everything, he says. For example, when batteries are not well
protected, they end up being misused. That leads to drops in system
performance. And then the customers stop paying. Thus: the boxes,
locks and saints.)
Rosa intends to avoid these and other pitfalls. His plan is to
focus on the human challenges first and the technological challenges
second. In such a fashion, he is optimistic that, in a few years'
time, he will have demonstrated a scalable, for-profit model that
will help carry the world out of today's dark ages.
A Different Way of Doing Business
Rosa is currently focusing his efforts in a poor municipality two
hours south of Porto Alegre called Encruzilhada do Sul, where 25
percent of the population, or about 1,000 households (all rural)
currently lack electricity. Years before, Rosa had learned that the
key to working with low-income communities was to identify champions
within those communities.
So he began in Encruzilhada by teaming up with Rodrigo Quadros, a
well-respected and high-minded local farmer, whom Rosa assigned the
job of managing the local communications and development strategy.
Then he forged a relationship with the mayor, Concei??o Deromar
Krusser, who offered to smooth over potential political obstacles
and identify all the families in the municipality that were without
electricity. "It's important to understand how the municipality and
community works who really has influence," says Rosa.
Then he pulled in Maria Inez Azevedo, a social psychologist with
years of experience working in rural areas as a community motivator.
And, after interviewing all the electricians in town, he formed a
partnership with Dariel Ferras Soares, a small businessman who had
founded his own electrical shop six years before.
Photo by David Bornstein
From left: Fabio Rosa, Dariel Ferras Soares, Mayor Concei??o Deromar
Krusser and Rodrigo Quadros
"It presented a good opportunity to do business," Ferras says.
"And it's a great satisfaction to bring electricity to people who
don't have it." Ferras earns about $R 90-100 for each installation
for about 2-3 hours work and receives income from periodic
maintenance calls. He is looking forward to as much new business as
he can handle. Rosa intends to form business partnerships with
dozens of local business people like Dariel Ferras offering them
new market opportunities.
Initially, when Rosa began marketing the Solar Home System to the
villagers in Encruzilhada, the acceptance rate was less than 10
percent. There were many obstacles. People were skeptical. They had
been falsely promised electricity many times before.
|
Photo by David
Bornstein Dariel Ferras Soares and coworkers in front of his
store | Others had been told by
political leaders to "wait for the grids." And many didn't believe
that electricity could really come from sunlight.
So Rodrigo Quadros and Inez Azevedo spent a year in Encruzilhada
talking to locals and encouraging them to try it out. "We have to
think differently," Quadros told his fellow villagers. "Your lives
will be easier." He reassured them: "It's not dangerous to work with
solar energy. It's also very reliable. It doesn't have to be sunny
every day. It does work in the winter . . ."
"I would visit people at night," Quadros recalled, "and say,
'Look at your walls. They're completely black from burning kerosene.
Look, you've been breathing this smoke. Your children are breathing
it'."
Building Trust and Confidence
After a year, the sales rate jumped to 30 percent. Rosa expects
it to jump considerably higher after more of the pilot sites are
installed.
"We needed to build trust and confidence," Inez Azevedo
explained. "It takes time to establish credibility. It's all a
matter of how you talk to people. You have to ask a lot of
questions. It's important to understand why people change or why
they don't change. If you understand that, then you can deliver
things to people in the way they would like to receive them.
"Most of all, you have to observe and look for local people who
can be leaders," she added. "You really have to look for them not
just work with the people who are the first ones to talk. The real
doers are not always the ones with charisma or talking ability. But
they can listen well and understand and they have credibility.
They really know their own needs and they make decisions quickly. It
is fundamental to identify the right people to work with
first: it is the key to making things work with communities."
One such leader is O?tila Maria Rosa dos Santos, an elementary
school teacher who lives in a brick house at the end of a red-dirt
road three
Rodrigo Quadros, O?tila Maria Rosa dos Santos and
Fabio Rosa pose in front of the solar panel on dos Santos'
house | kilometers from the
electric grid. Dos Santos would have had to pay at least $3,000 to
have her house hooked up to the grid a sum greater than her annual
income.
In a Saturday morning meeting in February 2002, after Rosa
presented his products and prices, dos Santos came forward and said
to him: "I want it. Can you install it tomorrow?" ("In the
meetings," Rosa says, "it is usually women who are the first to
speak about the need for electricity.")
Rosa's Solar Home System comes in three standard sizes: Kit
Number 1 rents for $10 per month. It comes complete with a 60-watt
photovoltaic solar panel, high-performance battery, all the wiring,
plus a number of 12-volt fluorescent lights and electrical outlets
for appliances.
The system provides, on average per day, 6-7 hours of lights and
a few hours of radio, TV and water pump usage. Kits 2 and 3 rent
for, respectively, $16 and $24 per month and come with more lights,
outlets and wattage. The installation cost for Kit Number 1 about
$150 can be paid off over the first 12 months.
Dos Santos opted for Kit Number 2. Previously, she said, she used
to spend $24 per month on gas lamps, candles and batteries.
Bringing Good Things to Light
She says her house is brighter and cleaner than before. After the
electricity, she decided to repaint some of the walls. The house no
longer
Dos Santos' house sports an antenna for her cell
phone and a TV antenna. Without electricity, residents of
Encruzilhada must go to town, where they spend R 1.50 every
time they need to have their cell phone battery charged. Now
Dos Santos charges her phone plugged at home.
| smells of kerosene. Next
summer, dos Santos is looking forward to cooler nights not having
to burn lamps inside the house.
But the greatest benefit of electricity is the effect on her son.
"My son had told me he didn't want to continue living in the dark,"
dos Santos told me on a recent visit to Brazil. "He was going to
leave home." She added, with a smile: "Now he will stay." I peeked
into her son, Emerson's room, and noticed a neat bookshelf with a CD
player and a small music collection.
"I don't believe I lived my entire life without the grid, and now
I have electricity," she added.
Dos Santos has become a self-appointed ambassador of solar energy
speaking to many locals in her understated but persuasive manner
about the benefits of electric lights.
Photo by David Bornstein
Rodrigo Quadros, O?tila Maria Rosa dos Santos and Fabio Rosa pose
beneath an electric light in Dos Santos's home
As of this writing, Rosa is in the field installing his pilot
Solar Home Systems. When I visited him in April 2003, we traveled to
Encruzilhada, where Rosa and Quadros were meeting with clients and
partners, and testing out the speed and reliability of a new
Internet-based bill payment system that had recently been installed
in kiosks in three shops, one pharmacy and one bank in the
municipality.
It is critical that payment remain simple and convenient for
clients and collections remain inexpensive and reliable for STA.
Early warning of non-payment is critical for control purposes. The
Internet system seems to be an effective way to streamline
collections. Rosa is continuing his tests.
Risk Factors
Cash flow especially the reliability of future payment streams
remains the greatest risk element in Rosa's business plan. Other
than non-payment, there are other risk elements that Rosa must
contend with. One big one is currency risk.
When Rosa began planning "The Sun Shines for All," the Brazilian
currency was trading at 1.8 Real to the U.S. dollar. (The solar
panels that Rosa uses are manufactured in the United States.) At one
point in the past year, the Real plummeted to 3.9 to the dollar. All
this has caused huge headaches for Fernando Sehn, a former Bank of
Boston analyst who is head of finance for STA. However, one bright
spot is that, in the past few years, solar panels have also dropped
in price, from $5.50 to $3.50 per watt.
Rosa's plan for Phase I calls for the installation of 1,500 Solar
Home Systems per year, for each of the next four years, across five
municipalities. Rosa has already met all the mayors and begun
cultivating a network of service partners like Dariel Ferras.
"First, we have to finish the market test," he says. "Then refine
the business plan and create an independent business subsidy to move
from a limited partnership to independent company." Rosa is
currently in discussions with potential investors. Stay tuned.
STA is also developing new products in anticipation of the
demand that will come with electricity. These include 12-volt
refrigerators, power saws, power drills and a thermal solar water
heater. The fridge will rent for $20 per month; the thermal water
heater (good for nine months of the year) will rent for $2.50 per
month.
Photo by David Bornstein
A thermal solar water heater would replace the need to heat water on
a stove for this shower bucket in Dos Santos' house
"At this moment," says Rosa, "we have millions of people without
energy, just like we did 10 years ago, just like we did 20 years
ago. Brazil has this problem. India has this problem. China has this
problem. Bangladesh has this problem. Two billion people have this
problem.
"At the moment we have a mature technology, but technology is
only one part of the business. So what are we doing? Instead of
focusing on commerce first, we are focusing on service. Commerce
will come but not in the way that people are thinking.
"First, we will demonstrate results on a small scale, then on a
regional scale, then all over Brazil, and then the world but
first, Encruzilhada."
Contact:
F?bio Luiz de Oliveira Rosa STA Agroeletro Sistema de
Tecnologia Adequada Rua Cel.Lucas de Oliveira, 199 Porto
Alegre RS 90440-011 Brazil Email: fabrosa@terra.com.br
Phone: (55) 51 3331.8081 Cell phone: 9165-3390 Pager:
Curitiba - Cel (41) 9613-2243
David Bornstein is the author of How To Change The World: Social Entrepreneurs and The
Power of New Ideas, which will be published by Oxford University
Press in January 2004. Please contact dbornstein@attglobal.net
if you would like to be contacted when the book is available. His
first book, The Price of a Dream: The Story of the Grameen
Bank was selected as a finalist for the New York Public Library
Book Award for Excellence in Journalism. His articles have appeared
in the Atlantic Monthly and the New York Times, and he
co-wrote the PBS documentary "To Our Credit." He lives in New York
City.
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